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Exhausitve intraday downside test in EUR/USD is expected to be followed by recovery.(10-06-04, 05.29GMT, EUR/USD spot : 1.2051, 1.update) The strong sell-off fell even beyond the overnight target and minor support zone near 1.2075-1.2050. The decline breached several, in our eyes quite important supports and consequently we reckon with rather limited rebound potential in the short-term run. However, the decline looks quite overstretched and significantly further losses (similar to yesterday) without some relaxing rebound seem not very likely. Nevertheless we think that in intraday a “new low” will probably be seen. Early Europe consolidation could respect 1.2080-1.21 on the upside and an additional downside test might go for 1.1975 later on. Then a retracement back towards 1.2150 (now rather strong resistance zone) should follow.
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