Trading Tips from 21 to 30

[walid]

The pressure is still on the single currency on increasing European requests for Portugal to accept a funding loan of its deficit from the IMF and European commission prepared package for the debt problems of the Euro area countries following Ireland but until now there is no signs of acceptance from Portugal and the Spanish government is still tied to its same position that there is no need of getting this package aid satisfied with its current bond market conditions exposure but it looks that the markets are still worrying about the debt conditions inside the Euro area weighing negatively on the European equities market which has had no considerable support from the US first session after long vacation because of the thanksgiving holidays as it is still depressed by the tension in the Korean semi island and Dow has hardly could tighten most of its loses by the end of session yesterday closing down by just 39 points while the demand for the US treasuries is still strong supporting the greenback taking from the investors' interests in the shares as it is still unclear yet to the market that the Fed's new easing steps are to take the wanted effects while we are waiting for very import data later this week as the market is waiting for November ISM Manufacturing to be 56.3 from 56.9 in October and non-manufacturing indexes to be 54.7 from 54.3 in October and also by the end of the week for US non farm payroll to be 145k from 151k in October and the US factory orders of October to get down by .7% after rising in September by 2.1% while the European debt problems are still containing the market sentiment by the Irish waited voting for the new budget next week on the 7th of next month the opening in the beginning of this week which should contain strong spending cuts and tax hikes after the EU finance ministers passing of 85B euros bailing out package plan during this weekend.
The single currency is trading currently below 1.3 psychological level versus the greenback as expected as there were no considerable support before this area between 1.303 to 1.297 as we have mentioned earlier last week and assured yesterday and the failing to have new buying here again can lead to testing the pair recent bottom at 1.26 while the market is still ignoring the good economic data coning out from EU as we have seen recently November EU consumer confidence getting up to new 3 years high and the germane IFO historical recorded new high of November which has not been seen since the beginning of it in 1991 reaching 109.3 getting above October reading which was 107.7 and it is expected to have November EU manufacturing PMI again above 55 and the reading above 50 is meaning that there is an expansion of the sector and below it mean that there is a contraction but even this good economic performance figures were not enough to convince the market that the worst of the debt crisis is over and behind of us to restore confidence about the debt market conditions inside the Euro area despite Spanish government repeated announcement that it has no reason to get use of this offered helping package but the Irish acceptance of this offered package after denying in the beginning is still concerning the market while it looks that there is pressure on Portugal to accept a share of this low interest rate offered aid and there may be there what can encourage it to take from it especially after Greece having new extension of its had loan payment period while its bonds yields differentials with the other bonds inside the Euro zone and specially Germany are expected to have the market interest after the attention got off the Irish bonds driving them up getting down their yields down with less expected exposure of its debt to the market.

Best wishes

FX Consultant
Walid Salah El Din
E-Mail: mail@fx-recommends.com
http://www.fx-recommends.com

[walid]

a covered bond auction of Portugal could help the single currency today to retrace some of its recent loses especially as it could find support at 1.297 yesterday as expected it was not easy to get down further breaking this support without bouncing. The single currency is now trading above 1.31 versus the greenback after the pressure on it has eased and the European equities markets have been cheered with this covered auction which has been on a relatively high yielding than before increasing the risk appetite of the investors which sold back the greenback and the Japanese yen carrying new risky trades as The market focusing has been turned to Portugal and Spain and the expected European requests for them for having a part of the available low cost bailing out package for funding their accumulated deficit which is weighing negatively on their creditability and the single currency domination which suffered strongly last month easing from 1.4281 by the release of US non-farm payroll of October which has come better than expected adding 151k after losing 41k in September while the market was waiting for adding just 60k encouraging the investors to take profits after the Fed has actually taken its waited decision of adding another 600B to its new adopted quantitive easing policy of buying US treasuries till the end of June 2011 driving the greenback before the profit taken wave which has been fueled beginning fueled by market worries about the debt situation of the European countries again and the tension of the semi Korean island which tempered the markets pushing the inventors to square further their carry trades buying back the greenback. The DAX 30 is trading up now more than 150 points and CAC 40 also making more than 50 points with the markets improving looking back again at the economic performance after the worries about the bond market have calmed down albeit watching the germane retails sales figure of October rising up by 2.3% monthly while it was expected to be up by just 1.3% today after falling in September by 1.8% and EU manufacturing PMI index coming above 55 as expected at 55.3 in November from 55.5 in October and also the PMI manufacturing figure of UK has helped the market risk appetite too today by a surprising reading of its November manufacturing PMI which came at 58 well above the market expectations of 54.7 from 54.4 in October and by god's will we wait now from US for November ISM Manufacturing to be 56.3 from 56.9 in October and By the end of this week for US non-manufacturing indexes to be 54.7 from 54.3 in October and also by the end of the week for US non farm payroll to be 145k from 151k in October and the US factory orders of October to get down by .7% after rising in September by 2.1%

Best wishes

FX Consultant
Walid Salah El Din
E-Mail: mail@fx-recommends.com
http://www.fx-recommends.com

[walid]

The covered bond auction of Portugal is still supporting the single currency to retrace some of its recent loses as it could find support at 1.297 as expected it was not easy to get down further breaking this supporting level from the first test of it. The single currency is still trying now to get above 1.32 versus the greenback again after the pressure on it has eased and the European equities markets have been cheered by this covered auction which brought some lost confidence to the investors to take risks selling back the greenback and the Japanese yen carrying new trades.

The market focusing currently is still on Portugal and Spain and the expected European requests for them to have shares of the available low cost bailing out package to fund their accumulated deficit which is weighing negatively on their creditability and the single currency domination which suffered strongly last month easing back from 1.4281 versus the greenback by the release of US non-farm payroll of October which has come better than expected adding 151k after losing 41k in September while the market was waiting for adding just 60k encouraging the investors to take profits covering their greenback selling as the Fed has actually taken its waited decision of adding another 600B$ to its adopted quantitive easing policy of buying US treasuries till the end of June 2011 but this was just a beginning as the greenback has continued its rising across the broad fueled by the market worries about the debt situation of the European countries again which increased in November containing the market sentiment weighing negatively on the single currency and the risk appetite of the investors which has been hurt again by the tension of the semi Korean island which tempered the markets pushing the inventors to square further their carry trades buying back the greenback and god willing, we wait again tomorrow for US non farm payroll release which is expected to be 145k from 151k in October and also we have tomorrow the US factory orders of October to get down by .7% after rising in September by 2.1% and US non-manufacturing indexes to be 54.7 from 54.3 in October

But today the market attention will be paid to the BOE to know whether or not it is to take further easing steps adding more funds to their current 200b Stg buying bonds or the MPC will be worried about the inflation upside risks outlook with UK CPI reading still above 3% yearly reaching 3.2% in October will cap them again from taking such steps especially after The National Institute of Economic and Social Research has expected UK GDP Q3 to be up by 0.5% q/q following the surprising preliminary reading quarterly reading at.8% while it was widely expected to be just .4% rising of Q2 by 0.8% and also we wait today for the ECB to have any new comments about the recent developments of the EU debt crisis or what can be done from their side to restore confidence in these debt ailing economies while the growing pace of Germany signals strong signs driving the EU economic growth up as we have seen recently the germane IFO historical recorded new high of November which has not been seen since the beginning of it in 1991 reaching 109.3 getting above October reading which was 107.7 and the germane retails sales figure of October rising up by 2.3% monthly while it was expected to be up by just 1.3% after falling in September by 1.8% which helped EU consumer confidence getting up to new 3 years high and lead November EU manufacturing PMI index to be above 55 again at 55.3 from 55.5 in October.

Best wishes

FX Consultant
Walid Salah El Din
E-Mail: mail@fx-recommends.com
http://www.fx-recommends.com

[walid]

As expected, the ECB has tried to restore confidence in the European debt anyway announcing the extending of working its buying bonds plans aiding the debt ailing economies. The single currency has been dragged down below 1.31 to 1.306 again before bouncing back to trading currently just above 1.32 as the investors have seen in these announced increasing of what is offered of Euros to the market devaluating of its value but in the same time, this has restored confidence in the market improving the risk appetite driving the equities prices up weakening the greenback further as this is to give stability to the bond market and calming down the investors worries which contained the market sentiment recently and reducing the European debt exposure of these countries at least in the short term putting unavoidable carried risks on the shoulder of the ECB which can hurt the single currency and has been criticized by the germane government and the Bundesbank President's Alex Weber who has ensured on the need of market sharing of these carried debt risks but this is still looking very difficult to countries like Ireland needs the offered unlimited assistance ECB and even the Portuguese and Spanish who are still paying higher costs of their sold debt while Germany is having strong growth rate reached .7% in the third quarter can underpin its situation while the EU GDP average of this same period has been just .4%.

The single currency next waited resistance should be at 1.33 versus the greenback then the area between 1.3385 and 1.3425 which should form difficulty to be passed and getting over it can open the way to 1.359 following by the recent previous top at 1.379 and this can be a stronger level as breaking it can open the way again to 1.4 psychological level while the way down should be met by supporting level at 1.306 then the main supporting level at 1.297 whereas the pair has met new buying interest recently and where the pair has formed a previous intermediate bottom of its rally which has ended to 1.428 and breaking it can lead to 1.26 as the main bottom of this previous ascending rally which has ended by the release of US non-farm payroll of October which has come better than expected adding 151k after losing 41k in September while the market was waiting for adding just 60k encouraging the investors to take profits covering their greenback selling as the Fed has actually taken its waited decision of adding another 600B$ to its adopted quantitive easing policy of buying US treasuries till the end of June 2011 but this was just a beginning as the greenback has continued its rising across the broad fueled by the market worries about the debt situation of the European countries again which increased in November containing the market sentiment weighing negatively on the single currency and the risk appetite of the investors which has been hurt again by the tension of the semi Korean island which tempered the markets pushing the inventors to square further their carry trades buying back the greenback and god willing, we wait again today for US non farm payroll release which is expected to be 145k from 151k in October and also we have today the US factory orders of October to get down by .7% after rising in September by 2.1% and US non-manufacturing indexes to be 54.7 from 54.3 in October.

Best wishes

FX Consultant
Walid Salah El Din
E-Mail: mail@fx-recommends.com
http://www.fx-recommends.com

[walid]

The weaker than expected US labor report of October which has shown a rising of the unemployment to 9.8% from 9.6% in October and disappointing US non-farm payrolls were expected to be around 150k but shocked the market by adding just 39k hurting the greenback across the broad and the US equities market in the beginning of the US session despite the up revision of October number to 172k from 150k which was included in the report. The market is anxiously waiting now for US factory orders of October which were actually expected to get down by .7% after rising in September by 2.1% and US non-manufacturing index to be 54.7 from 54.3 in October and further hurting data can effect negatively on the risk appetite at this last session of the week as the worries about the labor market and the effect of the Fed's quantitive easing policy to put the economy on its track.
The single currency could jump easily above 1.33 resistance after the data underpinned by Trichet's comments which have brought back some of the lost inventors' confidence in the European debt market announcing an extension of the working of its buying bonds plans aiding the debt ailing economies. The single currency has been dragged down below 1.31 to 1.306 again yesterday as the investors have seen in these announced increasing of what is offered of Euros to the market devaluating of its value but in the same time before bouncing back to be traded just above 1.32 as this announced policy of the ECB has restored confidence in the market improving the risk appetite driving the equities prices up weakening the greenback by the release of the US labor weak data which tempered the risk appetite weighing negatively again on the European stocks currently.
But anyway the investors worries about the European debt which contained the market sentiment recently have just calmed down by these comments about the ECB readiness and sticking to its previous pledges and also the successful recent Portuguese and Spanish auctions which has helped the Single currency to find support finally this week despite the rising of the costs of covering this auctions further which can refer to the probability of having a share from this offered aid by the IMF and the EU prepared package for bailing out the ailing economies by debt and unstable debt situation especially if there faced further weakness of their growth pace as we have seen Greece Q3 GDP shrinking by 1.1 while in Germany, it's .7% dragging the EU growth average in the third quarter of this year to by .4%.
The single currency next waited resistance should be in breaking above the area from 1.3385 and 1.3425 versus the greenback as getting over it can open the way to 1.359 following by the recent previous top at 1.379 and this can be a stronger level as breaking it can open the way again to 1.4 psychological level while the way down should be met by supporting level at 1.306 then the main supporting level at 1.297 whereas the pair has met new buying interest recently and where the pair has formed a previous intermediate bottom of its rally which has ended to 1.428 and breaking it can lead to 1.26 as the main bottom of this previous ascending rally which has ended by the release of US non-farm payroll of October which has come better than expected adding 151k after losing 41k in September while the market was waiting for adding just 60k encouraging the investors to take profits covering their greenback selling as the Fed has actually taken its waited decision of adding another 600B$ to its adopted quantitive easing policy of buying US treasuries till the end of June 2011 but this was just a beginning as the greenback has continued its rising across the broad fueled by the market worries about the debt situation of the European countries again which increased in November containing the market sentiment weighing negatively on the single currency and the risk appetite of the investors which has been hurt again by the tension of the semi Korean island which tempered the markets pushing the inventors to square further their carry trades buying back the greenback

Best wishes

FX Consultant
Walid Salah El Din
E-Mail: mail@fx-recommends.com
http://www.fx-recommends.com

[walid]

للحصول على
تغطية لسوق الفوركس حالياَ.
أخر الأخبار الاقتصادية المؤترة و المنتظرة.
تحليل فني لأي زوج عملات.
تحليل أساسي لأي زوج عملات.
كيفية استخدام أنسب الطرق لإدارة المخاطر حيث أن المداولة بالعملات الأجنبية والعقود مقابل الفروقات منتجان يعملان بالرافعة المالية و قد لا يلائمك التداول فيهما لما فيه من مخاطرة مالية كبيرة، وقد تتحمل خسارة مالية تفوق المبالغ الذي قمت بإيداعها، لذلك يجب أن تكون على ثقة تامة بأنك قد فهمت التحذير بالمخاطر قبل أن تواجهها.
كخدمة مجانية لأعضاء المنتدى هذا الاسبوع يمكنك الاتصال بي مباشرةً مبدائياً بإسخدام هذة البيانات و الله الموفق

Walid Salah El Din
Mob: +20 12 465 9143
mail@fx-recommends.comE-Mail:
http://www.fx-recommends.com

[amir_a]

السلام عليكم
عندى اهتمام فى تجاره العملات وبالتحديد زوج يورو/دولار
والان بما يقارب 4 شهور اتدرب على demo
من عدد من الشركات . طبعا بحثت عن شركات تكون فى الخليج لم اجد الى العربى والبحرينى
والاعجب انا موقع بنك البحرينى Java @web يرفض الكمبيوتر فتح الموقع ....لعدم الامان
سؤالى الاول :
عن برنامج METATRADER 4
بواسطه BOSTON TECHNOLOGIES
وجدت انا يوجد اهتمام كبير من جانب المتداولين حتى اكثر الشركات تحاول تضيفه كمنصه اضافيه.
ولاكن مع محاوله الاطلاع على سبب الاهتمام بالبرنامج . اطلعت على موقع بوستن وقرات العجب
حتى شعرت انى فى موقع المافيا .
من نصائحهم وترغيبهم للجميع بفتح شركات للعملات ووعودهم بتزويدهم للسيوله للتداول
الى ان وصلت الى نصيحتهم بعدم الحاجه لترخيص الشركه عند NFA او اى هيئه اخرى.
والاسوء انهم يشرحون لهم كيف التلاعب بالاسعار الوارده اليهم من البنوك بالكسور
لتحقيق مزيد من الربح زياده على مايجنونه من السبريت.
ارجو ان يكونى سؤالى واضح .
سؤالى الثانى عن بعض الشركات المشهوره الى حد م بالمصداقيه
والمبلغ المناسب لتاسيس تجاره جيده . والمارجن المناسب الى يجب ان طلب به
سمعت من بعض التجار ان النسبه للمحترفين لا يجب ان تزيد عن 1:20
والسلام

[walid]

The weaker than expected US labor report of November has contained the market sentiment by the end of the week as it has shown an unexpected rising of the unemployment to 9.8% from 9.6% in October and disappointing figure of the non-farm payrolls were expected to be around 150k shocking the market by adding just 39k hurting the greenback across the broad and the US stocks as well in the beginning of the US session which could cover its loses as the market expectations of a revising up of this reading have increased with the same report concluding of a strong upward revision of October to 172k from 150k in the first reading and this can be repeated in the next report of December in the beginning of the next year.
The single currency could jump easily above 1.33 resistance after these data underpinned by Trichet's recent comments which have brought back some of the lost inventors' confidence in the European debt market announcing an extension of the working of its buying bonds plans aiding the debt ailing economies. The single currency has been dragged down below 1.31 to 1.306 again yesterday as the investors have seen in these announced increasing of what is offered of Euros to the market devaluating of its value but in the same time before bouncing back to be traded just above 1.32 as this announced policy of the ECB has restored confidence in the market improving the risk appetite driving the equities prices up weakening the greenback by the release of the US labor weak data which tempered the risk appetite weighing negatively on the European stocks closing last week after strong rally has been triggered by the recent successful Portuguese and Spanish auctions helping the Single currency to find support finally at 1.297 despite the rising of the costs of covering these auctions but Trichet's comments about the ECB readiness and sticking to its previous pledges of buying bonds could add momentum to the stocks gain restoring more the confidence in the markets which are still waiting for Portugal and Spain to have a share of the offered aid by the IMF and the EU prepared package for bailing out the ailing economies by debt and subjected to increase before 2013 especially if there faced further weakness of their growth pace as we have seen Greece Q3 GDP shrinking by 1.1 while in Germany, it's .7% dragging the EU growth average in the third quarter of this year to by .4%.
The single currency next waited resistance should be in breaking above the area from 1.3385 and 1.3425 versus the greenback as getting over it can open the way to 1.359 following by the recent previous top at 1.379 and this can be a stronger level as breaking it can open the way again to 1.4 psychological level while the way down should be met by supporting level at 1.306 then the main supporting level at 1.297 whereas the pair has met new buying interest recently and where the pair has formed a previous intermediate bottom of its rally which has ended to 1.428 and breaking it can lead to 1.26 as the main bottom of this previous ascending rally which has ended at 1.4281 by the release of US non-farm payroll of October which has come better than expected adding 151k after losing 41k in September while the market was waiting for adding just 60k encouraging the investors to take profits covering their greenback selling as the Fed has actually taken its waited decision of adding another 600B$ to its adopted quantitive easing policy of buying US treasuries till the end of June 2011 and this was weighing negatively on the greenback but this has not stopped there as the profit taken wave buying the greenback has found momentum from the market worries about the debt situation of the European ailing countries which increased in November containing the market sentiment weighing negatively on the single currency to get down below 1.30 and hurting the risk appetite of the investors which has been hit once again by the tension in the semi Korean island hurting the markets pushing the inventors to square their carried trades further buying back the greenback and the Japanese yen and pushing the gold to get over 1380$ resistance breaking above 1400$ psychological level again underpinned by the rising of oil prices which are widely expected in the markets currently to go above 100$ next year with the recovery getting momentum and also the ECB promises to give unlimited funding of the European debts pushing its yields down moving their prices up by a huge ample of liquidities can be injected in the nerves of the EU economies too following US especially with bigger possibilities of having further hard times of the US labor market and having announced requests of funding from Spain and Portugal can move the EU to increase its offered package with the IMF which can have more funds from US for this purpose.

Best wishes

FX Consultant
Walid Salah El Din
E-Mail: mail@fx-recommends.com
http://www.fx-recommends.com

[walid]

السلام عليكم
لا تضارب الا عندما تثق فما بالك بمكان لا تثق فيه أصلاً؟!
هناك كثير من الشركات و البنوك المحترمة مثل Citigroup Alpari UK, Deutchbank, ......
أما بخصوص ال margin فاستخدامه فيما بين 5% ل 10% في حالة الثقة مناسب
يجب ألا تضارب بأكثر من 15% من اجمالي راس مالك الكلي لان المضاربة تشتمل على مخاطر كثير و ليست بلاستثمار الامن و تحتاج الى كثير من الخبرات قد لا تتوفر قبل سنوات. يمكنك الاتصال على رقمي المزكور لو كان لديك سؤال أخر

أخوك وليد

[walid]

The single currency is still trying to cross the area from 1.3385 and 1.3425 versus the greenback and if it could get over this area, this can open the way to 1.359 following by the recent previous top at 1.379 and this can be a stronger level as breaking it can open the way again to 1.4 psychological level while the way down should be met by supporting level at 1.306 then the main supporting level at 1.297 whereas the pair has met new buying interest recently and where the pair has formed a previous intermediate bottom of its rally which has ended to 1.428 and breaking it can lead to 1.26 as the main bottom of this previous ascending rally which has ended at 1.4281 by the release of US non-farm payroll of October which has come better than expected adding 151k after losing 41k in September while the market was waiting for adding just 60k encouraging the investors to take profits covering their greenback selling as the Fed has actually taken its waited decision of adding another 600B$ to its adopted quantitive easing policy of buying US treasuries till the end of June 2011 which was weighing negatively on the greenback but this greenback buying sentiment has not stopped there as the profit taken wave has found momentum from the market worries about the debt situation of the European ailing countries which increased in November containing the market sentiment weighing negatively on the single currency to get down below 1.30 and hurting the risk appetite of the investors which has been hit once again by the tension in the semi Korean island hurting the markets pushing the inventors to square their carried trades further buying back the greenback and the Japanese yen and pushing the gold to get over 1380$ resistance breaking above 1400$ psychological level again underpinned by the rising of oil prices which are widely expected in the markets currently to go above 100$ next year with the recovery getting momentum and also the ECB promises to give unlimited funding of the European debts pushing its yields down moving their prices up reducing the European debt exposure of these ailing countries at least in the short term putting unavoidable carried risks on the shoulder of the ECB by a huge ample of liquidities can be injected in the nerves of the EU economies as we have seen recently the recent successful Portuguese and Spanish auctions helping the Single currency to find support finally at 1.297 last week despite the rising of the costs of covering these auctions but Trichet's comments about the ECB readiness and sticking to its previous pledges of buying bonds could restore more confidence in the markets helping the European equities market to keep its last week gains which triggered by these auctions despite the weaker than expected US labor report of November has contained the market sentiment by the end of the week as it has shown an unexpected rising of the unemployment to 9.8% from 9.6% in October and disappointing figure of the non-farm payrolls were expected to be around 150k shocking the market by adding just 39k weighing negatively on the European stocks market which started this week contained by the probability of having more added funds to the current offered bailing out package with the IMF which can have more funds from US for this purpose but as it was expected, Merkel has come out to rule out going forward to this in the near term which supported the single currency but that does not object that there can be a need of this later and before 2013 when the working of this current one ending if the debt position of those ailing countries exacerbated and faced further weakness of their growth pace lagging behind Germany which has grown by .7% in the third quarter this year while Greece has shrunk by 1.1 while the EU growth average was just .4% and this growth weakness can continue as long as we see the US investment and consuming spending are still struggling and unable to create enough jobs to move the growth up sacking for further help from the Fed which may fund itself forced to inject more and more funds pushing the commodities and energy prices globally up while US has not get out from the risks of deflation forcing the other countries and especially the Asian to curb the investment and cooling their economies as we see in Korea and China currently criticizing this easing policy of US which is hurting their economic growth.

Best wishes

FX Consultant
Walid Salah El Din
E-Mail: mail@fx-recommends.com
http://www.fx-recommends.com