للتسجيل اضغط هـنـا
أنظمة الموقع تداول في الإعلام للإعلان لديـنا راسلنا التسجيل طلب كود تنشيط العضوية   تنشيط العضوية استعادة كلمة المرور
تداول مواقع الشركات مركز البرامج
مؤشرات السوق اسعار النفط مؤشرات العالم اعلانات الشركات الاكثر نشاط تحميل
 



العودة   منتديات تداول > الادارة والاقتصاد > مـــنــــتــــــدى السلع و العملات والنفط



إضافة رد
 
أدوات الموضوع
قديم 19-04-2011, 07:42 PM   #101
walid
متداول نشيط
 
تاريخ التسجيل: May 2004
المشاركات: 848

 
افتراضي 19/4/2011 - The Current Market Sentiment

The loonie could get another strong push from the rising of March Canadian CPI monthly by 1.1% from just .3% in February while the market was waiting for just .7% and also the core figure excluding the food and energy rose by .5% after a flat reading in Feb while the market was waiting for rising by .2% which shows growing of the inflation upside risks can push BOC forward to hike the interest rate. USDCAD has slumped after these data from .963 to .955 ahead of the low which has been reached earlier this month and has not been seen since November 2007 at .9525 on the tension in Libya which is fueling the oil prices and threating the supplies from the middle east while Canada has a surplus of it and also it is away from this tension which underpinned the demand of it as a safe haven too.
The worries about the debt outlook have accelerated in the beginning of this week to dampen the market sentiment weighing negatively on the European stocks and the single currency because of spreading rumors about preparing request from Greece to restructure its debt while there are market worries about the new Finnish government which can refuse contributing in funding the Portuguese new request for the aid of the bailing out plan which has been underpinned by 190 billion euros to be 440 billion recently from 250 billion for aiding European ailing of debts countries. The single currency has come under strong pressure during the Asian session as it has broken 1.4241 accompanied with the trend line support of the rising from 1.2873 to 1.3751 to reach 1.4155 before rebounding again and it is now trading above 1.43. versus the greenback which could get benefits from these worries about the debt in Europe which increased the risk aversion sentiment which has been triggered in the beginning of this week by PBOC's fourth request of this year to the Chinese banks to exceed their reserved holding of liquidities by .5% for fighting the inflation which has reached in March 5.4% while it has been forecasted to be just 5.1% from 4.9% in January and February and from another side by the shocking lowering of S&P rating agency to the US economy to negative from neutral.
After the Silver could find strong support at 42.17 following this surprising downgrading basing on the debt widening in US, it could rebound above 43 again and it is now trading at 43.58 after making new high today at 43.77. The silver could jump above 1.42 level following the strong inflation figures of china as a hedge versus inflation while situation in Libya is still mixed threating the oil supplies from the middles east to be cut. The silver could end its recent profit taken wave at 39.67 making a higher low after it has ended the previous correction at 36.45 well above the trend line support extended from 26.39 to 33.66 which is still underpinning it technically and its next supporting levels are expected to be at 40.52 then 39.67 again following over a longer range by 38.04, 37.06 and 36.45 again.

Kind Regards
FX Market Strategist
Walid Salah El Din
E-Mail: mail@fx-recommends.com
http://www.fx-recommends.com
walid غير متواجد حالياً   رد مع اقتباس
قديم 20-04-2011, 03:48 PM   #102
walid
متداول نشيط
 
تاريخ التسجيل: May 2004
المشاركات: 848

 
افتراضي 20/4/2011 - The Current Market Sentiment

The pressure has got off the single currency after the Finnish prime minister's comments that Finland will not be a reason of failing European rescue plan to Portugal which seem to be necessary currently. The markets have reacted positively to this declaration which eased the worries about funding the recent Portuguese request of funding its debt through the IMF/European Financial Stability Mechanism which is called (EFSM) which has been extended last month by 190 billion euros to be 440 billion recently from 250 billion for aiding European ailing of debts countries
the European rescue plan to Portugal putting pressure on the European bonds yield after the market worries about the debt contagion in Euro area could contain the market sentiment in the beginning of this week pushing the 10 year yields of the Greek bonds up to 14.4% and also the Portuguese 10 year bonds yields have surged to 9.1% and the Irish 10 year bonds yields have risen to 9.8%
The single currency has come under strong pressure earlier this week on rumors about new preparing request from Greece to restructure its debt plus the worries about the new Finnish government participation in funding this mentioned Portuguese request which accelerate the selling pressure breaking 1.4241 which has been accompanied with breaking the trend line support extension of the rising from 1.2873 to 1.3751 to reach 1.4155 before it could rebound above this trend line support again trading currently above 1.45 again breaking its earlier resistance at 1.4519 reaching 1.4546 today ahead of its previous lower high at 1.4578 which came after making the top following the credit crisis at 1.5143.
From another side, the greenback came under pressure earlier this week by the shocking lowering of S&P rating agency to the US economy to negative from neutral and today by the psychological breaking of 1500$ by the gold which could get use of the current market worries about the inflation outlook since the release of March strong inflation figures of china as a hedge versus inflation while situation in Libya is still mixed threating the oil supplies from the middles east to be cut. The gold which is still well-supported by being above the trend line support extended from 1307$ to 1380$ has supporting levels at 1450$ then 1410$, 1393$ then 1380$ which has been reached after the Japanese earthquake.
While the Fed's adopted quantitive easing policy is still weighing negatively on the greenback driving up the prices of the commodities and energy specially as it is still looking to the Fed that it is too soon to end this policy on the current economic situation as what has been said recently clearly by the Fed's Vice president Yellen which came inline with the recent statements of Bernenke which downplayed the risks of rising the energy prices over the long term referring to that the rising of the oil and commodities prices can be transity and this direction has been obvious in the recent meeting minutes of the Fed too with no reference to hike the interest rate until now and this direction can be maintained as long as we have seen no implication to be mentioned on US ISM manufacturing index which has come at 61.2 in March while the markets were waiting for just 60.5 from 61.4 showing no easing of the demand in the sector despite the rising of the commodities and oil prices which can give the conclusion that the easing period can be extended undermining the greenback having more rooms for prices to grow up with no tightening action to be taken against them underpinning the demand for the gold as a hedge against inflation.

Kind Regards
FX Market Strategist
Walid Salah El Din
E-Mail: mail@fx-recommends.com
http://www.fx-recommends.com
walid غير متواجد حالياً   رد مع اقتباس
قديم 25-04-2011, 09:12 AM   #103
walid
متداول نشيط
 
تاريخ التسجيل: May 2004
المشاركات: 848

 
افتراضي 25/4/2011 - The Current Market Sentiment

The silver could keep making new highs in the beginning of this week too following market concerns about the global inflation outlook has been triggered since the release of March consumer price index of china which has reached 5.4% yearly but by this way, it can be subjected to strong profit taken wave when the volumes get back to the markets after the Ester holidays.
While the markets are not expecting a close end of the Fed's While the Fed's adopted quantitive easing policy which is still weighing negatively on the greenback driving up the prices of the commodities and energy specially as it is still looking to the Fed that it is too soon to end this policy on the current economic situation as what has been said recently clearly by the Fed's Vice president Yellen which came inline with the recent statements of Bernenke which downplayed the risks of rising the energy prices over the long term referring to that the rising of the oil and commodities prices can be transity and this direction has been obvious in the recent meeting minutes of the Fed too with no reference to hike the interest rate until now and this direction can be maintained as long as we have seen no implication to be mentioned on US ISM manufacturing index which has come at 61.2 in March while the markets were waiting for just 60.5 from 61.4 showing no easing of the demand in the sector despite the rising of the commodities and oil prices which can give the conclusion that the easing period can be extended undermining the greenback having more rooms for prices to grow up with no tightening action to be taken against them underpinning the demand for the gold and the silver as a hedge against inflation.
From another side, the greenback came under pressure earlier last week by the shocking lowering of the US economy crediting by S&P rating agency to negative from neutral which increased the market worries about the US Economy which can be in need of further stimulating period as we are still getting from the Fed with no signals from the Fed to take a tightening step against the prices soon caring of the growth. The gold which is still well-supported by being above the trend line support extended from 1307$ to 1380$ has supporting levels at 1500$ psychological level right now after reaching 1517$ per ounce in the beginning of this week 1450$ then 1410$, 1393$ then 1380$ which has been reached after the Japanese earthquake.
While The silver could reach 49.78 in the beginning of this week following higher lows continued above 42 level at 42.18, 44.21 and 46.26 in a very short lived unprecedented correcting way following the strong inflation figures of china as a hedge versus inflation while situation in Libya is still mixed threating the oil supplies from the middles east to be cut.
The silver is surely well above the trend line support extended from 26.39 to 33.66 which is still underpinning it technically and over longer scales, it has supporting levels at 40.52 then 39.67 again following over a longer range by 38.04, 37.06 and 36.45 again.

Kind Regards
FX Market Strategist
Walid Salah El Din
E-Mail: mail@fx-recommends.com
http://www.fx-recommends.com
walid غير متواجد حالياً   رد مع اقتباس
قديم 26-04-2011, 06:12 AM   #104
dowholeslae8758
متداول جديد
 
تاريخ التسجيل: Apr 2011
المشاركات: 2

 
تعجب Wholesale Clothing Online Store

Online sale wholesale clothes has become a popular, Online buy cheap clothes from not only the wholesale clothing storepreferential price, good quality, can want to buy customers save money,Let the customer can need not go out can have fashionable cheap shoes and etc.
dowholeslae8758 غير متواجد حالياً   رد مع اقتباس
قديم 27-04-2011, 07:54 PM   #105
walid
متداول نشيط
 
تاريخ التسجيل: May 2004
المشاركات: 848

 
افتراضي 27/4/2011 - The Current Market Sentiment

The market is waiting now for the Fed's interest rate decision which is widely expected to be unchanged from 0% to 25% again with no mentioning of a close end of the Fed's quantitive easing policy steps which can be extended as long as the fed is still downplaying the inflation upside risks over the long term caring of the labor market and the stability of the housing market and god willing the market will be closely watched the Fed's president press conference after the Fed's meeting for the first time today to know more about the Fed's current evaluation of the economic performance and the inflation pressure and to how long this quantitive easing policy can be held which caused greenback weakness pushing up the energy and commodities prices on this low interest rate in US which is encouraging the investment and from another side lowering the greenback to produce inflation pressure globally to force the ECB to hike the interest rate for fighting this inflation and to lead PBOC to ask the Chinese banks 10 times since the beginning of 2010 to raise its reserves liquidity and to raise the interest rate 3 times since the last charismas for containing the inflation pressure which some of it has come from the tension in the middle east and specially labia and some other has resulted from this current Fed's adopted quantitive easing policy which drove the prices of the commodities and energy up while it is till looking to the fed that it is too soon to end this policy as what has been said a week ago by the Fed's Vice president Yellen which came inline with the recent statements of Bernenke which downplayed the risks of rising the energy prices over the long term referring to that the rising of the oil and commodities prices can be temporary and this direction has been obvious in the recent meeting minutes of the Fed too with no signal for hiking the interest rate until now and this direction can be maintained as we have seen no implication to be mentioned on US ISM manufacturing index which has come at 61.2 which the market waiting for just 60.5 from 61.4 showing no easing of the demand in the sector despite the rising of the commodities and oil prices which can give the conclusion that the easing period can be extended undermining the greenback having more rooms for prices to grow up with no tightening action to be taken against them which can underpin the demand for the precious metal like the gold and the Silver as a hedge against inflation.

Kind Regards
FX Market Strategist
Walid Salah El Din
E-Mail: mail@fx-recommends.com
http://www.fx-recommends.com
walid غير متواجد حالياً   رد مع اقتباس
قديم 02-05-2011, 07:21 PM   #106
walid
متداول نشيط
 
تاريخ التسجيل: May 2004
المشاركات: 848

 
افتراضي 2/5/2011 - The Current Market Sentiment

After the gold could record a new high at 1574$ in the beginning of the week, it has eased back following the news of killing Bin Laden by the US forces in Pakistan but the focusing got back on the Greenback interest rate outlook to be under pressure again after dragging the gold down below 1540$ to be traded currently near 1570$ per ounce.
The pressure has accelerated recently on the greenback after the Fed's recent meeting and Ben Bernenke press conference which did not come with new to the market concerning the US economy as the Fed is still appreciating the growth down side risks impacts on the labor and the housing market which is still depressed downplaying the inflation upside risks which can be transitory with impact on the underlining inflation over the long term and this direction can be maintained as we have seen in April a marginal easing of the US ISM manufacturing pace of expansion to 60.4 from 61.4 while the market was waiting for falling below 60 to 59.5 and this figure came after better than expected figure of April Chicago manufacturing PMI by the end of last week at 67.6 while the market was waiting for 67.1 from 70.6 in March to show that there is no negative worrying implication dampening the demand in the US manufacturing sector yet despite the rising of the commodities and oil prices which can give the conclusion that the easing period can be extended spurring the investments undermining the greenback by God's will.
As the market has seen in this assessment further readiness of the Fed for having longest possible period of easing enduring coming inflation pressure from the rising of the commodities and energy prices which can give rooms for the greenback to fall with no expected action from the fed soon for containing the inflation underpinning the greenback and the that was the reason of rising the gold to these current new highs leading the silver to make unprecedented performance rising in the beginning of last week to 49.78 as a hedge against inflation and in the same time versus the geopolitical concerns with mixed military position in labia underpinning the oil prices threating the supplies from the middle east and even after the gulf countries pledges of compensating the Libyan supplies, it costs more to the European comparing to Libya specially to Italy which has 35% of its needs of gas from it.
God willing, the market focusing will be turning this week on the US labor market as the Fed's considering block against taking tightening steps and we have seen last Thursday dramatical rising of the US initial weekly jobless claim to 429k from 404k a week earlier while it was expected to ease to 390k as we are wait this week for April ADP non-farm employment change to be 200k from 201k in March and also the US labor report by the end of it to have decreasing of US non-farm payroll of April to 183k from 216k in March keeping the unemployment rate at 8.8% as it was in March.

Kind Regards
FX Market Strategist
Walid Salah El Din
E-Mail: mail@fx-recommends.com
http://www.fx-recommends.com
walid غير متواجد حالياً   رد مع اقتباس
قديم 04-05-2011, 05:49 AM   #107
walid
متداول نشيط
 
تاريخ التسجيل: May 2004
المشاركات: 848

 
افتراضي 4/5/2011 - The current market sentiment

The single current could not come over 1.49 again trading around 1.48 versus the greenback waiting for the ECB interest rate decision which is widely expected to be unchanged at 1.25% after raising it by .25% last meeting but God willing, the market will be closely watching for the Trichet's press conference after the ECB meeting next Thursday waiting for the mantra which is hinting to a close interest rate hiking decision which can be repeated again saying that strong vigilance is warranted for monitoring the prices developments and the ECB is ready to take what's necessary to anchor the prices rising and to restore prices stability over the medium term but in the case of not saying that the single currency can come under pressure and this is also not away from the market expectations too as the ECB president has said in the recent press conference following the interest rate hiking in April that it is not an action of series to be taken and it is left to the development of the inflation which is still looking heading up as what has been seen in the flash figure of April EU CPI which has risen to 2.8% yearly from 2.7% in March and 2.4% in February and so, he is expected to stress again on the need for avoiding a second round effect of inflation pressure and he is expected also to mention again the need of taking the financial measures for reducing the deficit of the debt ailing economies in the Euro area which can suffer from the implications of fighting the inflation by hiking the interest rate as it should put more weights on them as this will increase the cost of repaying their debts driving up the yields of their new issuance too which can weakening their creditability which is worrying the market and weighing negatively on the Euro and its backed securities.
The single currency was supported recently by this interest rate outlook differential versus the greenback which has been hit by the Fed's recent meeting and Ben Bernenke press conference which did not come with new to the market concerning the US economy as the Fed is still appreciating the growth down side risks impacts on the labor and the housing market which is still depressed downplaying the inflation upside risks which can be transitory with no impact on the underlining inflation over the long term which shows the readiness of the Fed for having longest possible period of easing enduring coming inflation pressure from the rising of the commodities and energy prices which can give rooms for the greenback to fall with no expected action from the fed soon for containing the inflation underpinning the greenback.
So, God willing, the market focusing will be turning this week on the US labor market which is taking most of the Fed's consideration capping it from taking tightening steps by its current gradual pace as we have seen last Thursday dramatical rising of the US weekly initial jobless claim to 429k from 404k a week earlier while it was expected to ease to 390k and we are wait today for April ADP non-farm employment change to be 200k from 201k in March and also by the end of the week for April US labor report to have decreasing of US non-farm payroll of April to 183k from 216k in March keeping the unemployment rate at 8.8% as it was in March.

Kind Regards
FX Market Strategist
Walid Salah El Din
E-Mail: mail@fx-recommends.com
http://www.fx-recommends.com
walid غير متواجد حالياً   رد مع اقتباس
قديم 06-05-2011, 11:05 AM   #108
walid
متداول نشيط
 
تاريخ التسجيل: May 2004
المشاركات: 848

 
افتراضي 6/5/2011 - The Current Market Sentiment

The Single currency came under pressure after the ECB president Mr. Trichet had come back to very closely watching the prices from strong vigilance warranted in monitoring the prices which has been seen as a softer tone can not signal another tightening decision by .25% in next June meeting after keeping it unchanged in May meeting yesterday. The single currency has tumbled across the broad after the ECB assessment falling below more than 3 figures and half versus the greenback to be traded currently around 1.455 waiting for a clear break of the trend line support extended from 1.2873 to 1.3425 versus the greenback which is waiting today for the release of US Labor report of April after dovish release of April ADP Employment Change which came at just 179k from 201 in March while the market was waiting for 200k and another disappointing release of US weekly initial jobless claim rising to 474k following 429k from 404k a week earlier triggering a pessimistic sentiment in the market before this report which is expected to contain decreasing of US non-farm payroll of April to 183k from 216k in March keeping the unemployment rate at 8.8% as it was in March. The single currency can test another support soon at 1.4493 in the case of further setting back and the breaking of it can open the door for 1.4155 again then 1.4017 whereas it has ended its previous correction above this aforementioned trend line support.
The Aussi also has been exposed to a strong correction since the release of April Australian commodities prices which have fallen yearly to 32.3% from 42.2% in March and also following the weak release of April Australian retail sales which came down in April by .5% after rising in March by .5% while the market was waiting for .6% to exacerbate the appetite of buying it while the commodities prices have been easing back this week from another side.
The Aussi has been exposed to a firmer correction than the single currency versus the greenback after reaching 1.101 in the beginning of this week and in the case of bouncing and rising back from here, it should meet a resistance at 1.0733 then 1.0875 then 1.0931 then 1.101 again as it has actually broken the trend line support extended from .9704 to 1.0441 earlier and after reaching 1.0535, it has formed a lower high below this trend line support at 1.0733.

Kind Regards
FX Market Strategist
Walid Salah El Din
E-Mail: mail@fx-recommends.com
http://www.fx-recommends.com
walid غير متواجد حالياً   رد مع اقتباس
قديم 12-05-2011, 11:07 AM   #109
walid
متداول نشيط
 
تاريخ التسجيل: May 2004
المشاركات: 848

 
افتراضي 12/5/2011 - The Current Market Sentiment

The Aussi has come under pressure again by disappointing employment change in April by -22.1k from 37.8k in March while the market was waiting for rising by 17.4k. The Aussi has been exposed to a strong correction since the release of April Australian commodities prices which have fallen yearly to 32.3% from 42.2% in March and also following the weak release of April Australian retail sales which came down in April by .5% after rising in March by .5% while the market was waiting for .6% to put another pressure on it accompanied with falling of commodities prices and Now, The Aussi can meet resistance at 1.0887, 1.0931 then 1.101 again, in the case of rising back again as it has actually broken the trend line support extended from .9704 to 1.0441 earlier and after reaching 1.0535, it has formed a lower high below this trend line support at 1.0887 and if it is to come down further should meet 1.0535 and in the case of breaking it this time it can face another supporting level at 1.0441
The sterling could rise above 1.65 after UK inflation quarterly report which has ensured the same warning of April MPC minutes about the inflation rising to 5% to hint for a possibility of tightening by the end of this year as the report has shown a lower worry about the growth than expected as it has repeated the negative impact of the governmental austerity measures of spending on the growth which was lower than BOE's forecasting in Feb of the first quarter which rose by .5% in the preliminary release to lower some more of the stagflation risks facing the UK economy following the declining of March CPI to 4% from 4.4% in February. The sterling came under pressure again after it could not come over 1.6516 to ease back below 1.64 to 1.6318 as the risk appetite could contain the market sentiment back with the falling of commodities and energy prices supporting the greenback and it's next supporting level can be now 1.6269, 1.6164 and 1.5935 and over a longer range, it can get back 1.5744 and by god's will, in the case of ascending back, it can meet resistance at 1.5616 again then 1.6573 by its high of this year at 1.6744

Kind Regards
FX Market Strategist
Walid Salah El Din
E-Mail: mail@fx-recommends.com
http://www.fx-recommends.com
walid غير متواجد حالياً   رد مع اقتباس
إضافة رد

مواقع النشر (المفضلة)

أدوات الموضوع

تعليمات المشاركة
لا تستطيع إضافة مواضيع جديدة
لا تستطيع الرد على المواضيع
لا تستطيع إرفاق ملفات
لا تستطيع تعديل مشاركاتك

BB code is متاحة
كود [IMG] متاحة
كود HTML معطلة

الانتقال السريع


الساعة الآن 07:12 PM. حسب توقيت مدينه الرياض

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.3
Copyright ©2000 - 2024, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.