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16-01-2004, 12:13 AM | #11 |
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هلا اخوي فيصل ، هذي التصريحات كانت تتكلم عن سياسات الدولة النقدية علشان كذا أثرت .
الأخ عدنان ، هذه النصائح أقوم بإعدادها بنفسي وذلك بتحليل السوق فنيا . أخوكم محمد السويّد |
16-01-2004, 04:54 PM | #12 |
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ارجوا التنبه إلى أن هناك احتمال كبير بأن يعود اليورو مرة أخرة لتجربة اختراق 1.29 ، بدايه محاولة الطلوع هي باختراق مستوى 1.2512 ، اذا حصل هذا فالتوصية كالتالي :
شراء بعد اختراق 1.2512 ضع امر وقف الخسارة على 1.2460 الهدف 1.2900 اخوكم الفرس |
19-01-2004, 02:57 AM | #13 |
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توصية اليوم :
اشتر على 1.2500 ضع امر وقف الخسارة على 1.2460 الهدف 1.29 |
19-01-2004, 03:48 PM | #14 |
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هناك تصريحات من مسؤولين اوروبيين ترجح حدوث انعكاس في تجاه اليورو Reversal بحيث يعود مرة أخرى للصعود هذا الأسبوع ، وهذه هي الأخبار :
12:18 EUR/USD: EU Official"s Continue Softer Tone On Euro Rise] London, January 19: EU official rhetoric continued through the European morning, and the zone"s top brass appear to be a lot happier now EUR/USD has undergone a correction from January 12"s lifetime highs of 1.2896. EUR/USD now trades around 1.2360, just off the 1.2335 five-week lows recorded earlier in the session. Austria"s Finance Minister Grasser "does not see why anyone should be worried about the strength of the euro", according to Reuters reports, while suggesting that he sees no need/reason for the Eurogroup meeting to engage in any "verbal intervention". Also, after the release of German Q4 GDP (rising 0.25% Q/Q), Buba"s Stark said that he does not believe that the recent rise in the euro will obstruct the German economic recovery. -- Tony.Nyman@thomson.com [IFR Forex Watch] [SQUAWK BOX] |
20-01-2004, 11:32 PM | #15 |
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السلام عليكم ورحمة الله وبركاته ،،،،،
السوق أقفل فوق مستوى 1.2560 مما ينبئ باستمرار المنحى التصاعدي انشالله لذا فالتوصية اليوم وغدا هي الشراء على المستوى الحالي ووضع أمر وقف الخسارة على 1.2530 والهدف انشالله 1.29 مع تمنياتي لكم بالتوفيق والنجاح . أخوكم محمد السويّد |
22-01-2004, 03:23 AM | #16 |
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اشتر على 1.2635 أو على المستويات الحالية
ضع امر وقف الخسارة على 1.2595 الهدف الأول 1.2795 الهدف الثاني 1.2900 بالتوفيق انشالله |
22-01-2004, 04:25 PM | #17 |
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[12:28 January 22] London: USD/JPY fell to a low of 106.23 after stops were
triggered on a break of 106.50. A EUR/USD rally to 1.2750 was partly attributed to the dollar move lower. The European Central Bank said in its monthly report that interest rates are appropriate. They also stressed the need for stability with regards to exchange rates. Traders are saying that the ECB appear to be unwilling to take any decisive action to halt the EUR rise. The currency also appears to becoming less sensitive to verbal intervention. EUR/JPY rallied to a high of 135.60 and looks poised for further gains. Some traders are looking for a test of 136.00 where offers are reported. Japanese MOF official, Watanabe, said Europe and Japan share the same level of concern on Weak dollar. He added that Japan"s Finance Minister, Sadakazu Tanigaki, will not be calling on the U.S. to fix deficits. In the near term, Japanese bids at 106.00 - 106.20 are likely to provide support. Hourly resistance is seen at 106.85. --Charles.Sultan@thomson.com |
22-01-2004, 05:06 PM | #18 |
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ECB Report Dovish on Rising Euro and Interest Rates by Jes Black
At 8:30:00 AM US Weekly Jobless Claims (exp 345K, prev 343K) At 10:00:00 AM US Dec Leading Indicators Index (exp 0.20%, prev 0.30%) The dollar added to this week's steep losses after the highly anticipated January report from the European Central Bank showed little stress over the rising euro. Upon the release the euro broke to new highs adding one cent on the day to 1.2752. Sterling has gained over 6 cents in three days and is nearing in on last week's 11-year peak of 1.8565. Meanwhile the dollar succumbed to renewed selling pressure against the yen, falling to a session low of 106.23 after it failed to maintain above the key 107 level this week. The uncoordinated stance amongst global central bankers and finance ministers has left the impression that more dollar selling will be tolerated. In effect this opens the way for a run at 1.30 in EUR/USD, while US bonds should maintain a firm bid from Asian central banks as they intervene in the currency markets. US stocks should also continue to benefit as artificially low rates and a falling dollar boost profits. US data today include weekly jobless claims, which are seen rising to 345k, up marginally from last week's 3-year low of 343k ECB Report Fails to Find Concern in Dollar Decline The ECB missed a key opportunity today to steer the markets away from aggressive dollar selling. While mentioning the detriments of currency volatility the market was looking for solid signs that the ECB was growing discontent with the appreciation of the euro. Instead the report boosted Eurozone bonds and the euro as the ECB is seen dovish on both its rising currency and the need to raise rates. The market has now removed expectations of a rate hike, but is mixed over the possibility of a rate cut after ECB members this week seemed to dismiss the effectiveness of such a strategy. In sum, today's report was a coup for dollar bears after last week's worries |
26-01-2004, 02:21 AM | #19 |
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السلام عليك ورحمة الله وبركاته ،،،،،
إخوي الكرام ، ربما رأيتم ما حدث من سقوط في اليورو يوم الجمعة وهذا عائد بشكل واضح إلى محصلي ارباح على عقود شراء ، والسبب ان اصحابها لم يريدوا المخاطرة بالربح خلال عطلة نهاية الأسبوع وذلك بسبب اجتماع دافوس وخلافه ، واليورو حاليا قد شكل تريند جديد من المفترض ان يتماسك مع ان المؤشرات غير مشجعه ، ولكن توصية اليوم هي : اشتر على المستويات الحالية (1.2582) الهدف 1.3 أمر وقف الخسار يستعاض عنه بعملية جديدة مدبله أدناه ضع امر بيع على سعر 1.2540 ضع امر وقف الخسارة على 1.2610 الهدف 1.2480 مع تمنياتي لكم بالتوفيق والنجاح أخوكم محمد السويّد |
26-01-2004, 03:43 AM | #20 |
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[00:22 EUR/USD Just Above NY Low Of 1.2565, Rate Cut Concerns, G7] Tokyo, Jan
26. Expectations of a renewed push on the part of EZ-officials for an agreement on currencies at the upcoming G7 meeting on February 6-7 as well as a possible interest rate cut by the ECB to offset the economic effects of recent EUR moves up were major factors behind the sell-off from a high of 1.2776 in London to 1.2565 in New York. Cross sales figured largely, with EUR/JPY selling off very sharply as well. Dealers were just becoming comfortable with the view that the ECB neither had the will nor the wherewithal to act except verbally on EUR strength. This no longer seems to be the case with dealers eyeing possible interest rate cuts as well as direct FX intervention, even if done solo, to stem EUR/USD rises above 1.30. How quick the pendulum swings. With EUR/USD hovering just above Friday lows, the bias is likely to remain down in the immediate term though there are those who suggest long liquidation is perhaps over. The sell-off Friday does suggest significant position adjustments did take place but IMM CTA data shows long EUR positions having increased in the week ended January 20 to 28,243 from 26,937 contracts, still a hefty sum. Some stops are likely below 1.2550-60. 1.2549 was the low seen in Asia on January 21. Next support comes in at 1.2505, 61.8% Fibo retracement of 1.2335-1.2775. Upside resistance today is eyed at 1.2600-10. EUR/USD currently trades 1.2567/72. --Haruya.Ida@thomson.com /SH [IFR Forex Watch] [SQUAWK BOX] |
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